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Shimmick Corp (SHIM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue grew 42% year over year to $128.4M, beating Wall Street consensus of $113.2M*; consolidated gross margin improved to 6% from -34% in Q2 2024, while GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.25 and Primary/adjusted EPS was -$0.14, in line with consensus* .
  • Adjusted EBITDA was approximately breakeven at -$0.234M versus consensus of +$0.35M*, with the shortfall driven by Non-Core projects mix; EBITDA (SPGI-defined) actual was -$3.9M* .
  • Guidance was mixed: Shimmick Projects revenue raised to $405–$415M (from $392–$410M), Non-Core revenue raised to $80–$90M (from $50–$60M), but consolidated Adjusted EBITDA lowered to $5–$15M (from $15–$25M), reflecting unfavorable gross margin mix as Non-Core revenue becomes a higher share of total .
  • Backlog stood at ~$652M (>88% Shimmick Projects); the company launched Axia Electric to target electrical/power distribution opportunities, and cited a 12-month bidding outlook >$4.5B, $70M new awards in July, and preferred bidder status on ~$164M of projects—near-term catalysts for backlog growth and narrative shift toward core electrical/water markets .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Shimmick Projects performance: Revenue rose to $113M (+34% YoY) with gross margin of $15M (13%), supported by new water/infrastructure ramps and the California Palisades fire clean-up project .
  • Cost discipline and liquidity: SG&A fell 20% YoY to $15M; liquidity improved to $73M at quarter-end, up $2M sequentially .
  • Strategic positioning: Launch of Axia Electric and strong bidding pipeline; CEO: “We expect to see strong backlog growth and improved margins over the upcoming quarters… focus on electrical work,” highlighting >$4.5B 12-month bidding outlook and market rebound with both public and private clients .

What Went Wrong

  • Non-Core drag persists: Non-Core revenue was $16M but gross margin was -$7M (-43%), with Non-Core Loss Projects continuing to consume margin as they wind down; consolidated net loss was -$8.5M .
  • Guidance cut on profitability: Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA guidance reduced to $5–$15M (from $15–$25M) due to unfavorable mix (higher share of Non-Core revenue) despite raised revenue outlook—CFO flagged this mix impact explicitly .
  • Working capital/cash flow pressure: Operating cash flow was -$42.0M in 1H25, driven notably by a $48.6M decline in contract liabilities; long-term debt rose to $32.6M from $9.5M at FY24-end, underscoring funding and execution needs while Non-Core projects wind down .

Financial Results

Key Metrics vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$90.605 $122.110 $128.402
Gross Margin ($USD Millions)-$31.131 $4.696 $8.129
Gross Margin (%)-34% 4% 6%
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)-$1.83 -$0.28 -$0.25
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)-$1.60 -$0.22 -$0.14
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)-$39.689 -$2.954 -$0.234
Net Loss ($USD Millions)-$51.389 -$9.770 -$8.525

Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus
Revenue ($USD Millions)$128.402 $113.200*
Primary EPS ($)-$0.14*-$0.14*
EBITDA ($USD Millions, SPGI-defined)-$3.921*$0.350*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions, Company-Defined)-$0.234 N/A

Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown

SegmentQ1 2025 Revenue ($M)Q1 2025 GM ($M)Q1 2025 GM (%)Q2 2025 Revenue ($M)Q2 2025 GM ($M)Q2 2025 GM (%)
Shimmick Projects$93 $5 6% $113 $15 13%
Non-Core (Legacy/Foundations)$29 -$1 -2% $16 -$7 -43%
Consolidated Total$122 $5 4% $128 $8 6%

KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
Backlog ($USD Millions)~$740 ~$652
% Shimmick Projects in Backlog>87% >88%
Liquidity ($USD Millions)$71 $73
12-Month Bidding Outlook ($USD Billions)~2.0 (proposal pipeline) >4.5
New Awards Added (Post-Q2)N/A$70 in July 2025
Preferred Bidder SelectionsN/A~$164 (Transit Center, River Pump Station)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Shimmick Projects Revenue ($M)FY 2025$392–$410 $405–$415 Raised
Shimmick Projects GM (%)FY 20259%–12% 9%–12% Maintained
Non-Core Projects Revenue ($M)FY 2025$50–$60 $80–$90 Raised
Non-Core Projects GM (%)FY 2025(5%)–(15%) (15%)–(5%) Maintained
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2025$15–$25 $5–$15 Lowered

CFO rationale: higher revenue burn in both Shimmick and Non-Core for the year, but mix unfavorable as Non-Core increases as a share of revenue; Shimmick gross margins strong, Non-Core near low end of guidance in 1H25 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Electrical/technology initiativesCEO highlighted expansion into electrical and technology-driven infrastructure; target to grow electrical share to 30% by 2027 (from ~15%); multiple wins and strong pipeline in data centers/technology .Launch of Axia Electric subsidiary focused on complex electrical/power distribution; continued emphasis on electrical within core markets .Strengthening
Tariffs/macroMinimal margin impact on existing projects due to fixed-price contracts; disciplined bidding to pass through premiums; watch longer-term funding constraints for public clients .CEO noted market rebound with public and private clients; slower bidding activity earlier in year tied to macro uncertainties but improving .Improving demand; vigilance on public funding
Backlog/biddingBacklog ~$739–740M; sustainable, risk-balanced approach; reaffirmed full-year guidance in Q1 .Backlog ~$652M; >4.5B 12-month bidding outlook; $70M new awards in July; preferred bidder ~$164M .Pipeline expanding; backlog poised to grow
Non-Core wind-downLegacy/Foundations margins deeply negative; cost overruns and schedule/design issues; warned no future GM recognition as projects complete .Non-Core Loss Projects continue to depress margins; claim settlements improved YoY comps; guidance maintains negative GM range .Improving vs 2024 but still a headwind
Liquidity/financingLiquidity ~$100M at FY24-end; new $15M credit agreement; Q1 liquidity $71M .Liquidity $73M; sequential improvement; SG&A down 20% YoY .Stable to improving

Note: The Q2 2025 call transcript could not be retrieved due to a document database issue; themes reflect Q1 call content and Q2 8-K commentary .

Management Commentary

  • CEO (Ural Yal): “We expect to see strong backlog growth and improved margins over the upcoming quarters as we continue to develop our profitable core business in sustainable infrastructure with a focus on electrical work… [bidding] outlook stands at over $4.5 billion… rebound in the infrastructure market both with public and private clients” .
  • CFO (Todd Yoder): “We are increasing our full-year revenue guidance… While we expect higher revenue burn in both Shimmick Projects and Non-Core Projects for the full year, it creates an unfavorable gross margin mix… We now expect Adjusted EBITDA for the full year of between $5 million and $15 million” .

Q&A Highlights

Due to a database inconsistency, the Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was unavailable, limiting Q&A detail. Notable clarifications from management’s guidance statement: raised revenue ranges for both Shimmick and Non-Core projects, but lowered consolidated Adjusted EBITDA due to mix; Shimmick margins tracking strong, Non-Core near low end of guidance in 1H25 . Q1 call emphasized passing tariff-related cost premiums through bids and minimal margin impact on existing fixed-price contracts .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 performance vs consensus: Revenue beat materially ($128.4M vs $113.2M*), Primary EPS matched (-$0.14* vs -$0.14*), and EBITDA (SPGI-defined) missed (actual -$3.9M* vs +$0.35M*) while company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was roughly breakeven (-$0.234M) .
  • Implications: Street models may need to increase full-year revenue but trim EBITDA given management’s guide-down and Non-Core mix; reconcile SPGI EBITDA framework vs company Adjusted EBITDA to align with margin narrative. Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue momentum is strong and broad-based in core Shimmick Projects; expect continued GM improvement as new water/infrastructure ramps offset Non-Core drag .
  • Mixed guidance is the key stock narrative: raised revenue outlook but lowered Adjusted EBITDA—near-term estimate revisions likely to adjust profitability lower while backlog/awards support top-line .
  • Execution focus: SG&A down 20% YoY and liquidity up sequentially; sustaining cost control while converting bids to backlog is critical for margin trajectory .
  • Watch Non-Core wind-down and claim dynamics: margin headwinds persist even as YoY comps improve; complete and exit efficiently to reduce mix pressure .
  • Strategic catalysts: Axia Electric launch positions SHIM in higher-value electrical/power scopes across water, data centers, and advanced manufacturing; the >$4.5B bidding outlook plus July awards/”preferred bidder” wins should bolster backlog visibility .
  • Estimates reset likely: Model revenue higher and Adjusted EBITDA lower for FY25; ensure alignment on “Primary EPS” (adjusted) versus GAAP EPS in comparing to consensus* .
  • Near-term trading: Potential for positive sentiment on revenue beat/backlog expansion offset by EBITDA guide-down; monitor additional award conversions and Q3 backlog updates for confirmation of the improving core margin narrative .